Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1268.037127 1433.252006 1614.356496 1828.018789 2073.718925 2348.014021 2678.263283
2025-12-21 973.155932 1185.749740 1439.088154 1764.900175 2175.191482 2677.839875 3345.035784
2025-12-28 857.963970 1100.795912 1407.402923 1826.408928 2389.451851 3127.400717 4180.217330
2026-01-04 765.224753 1022.907910 1363.653035 1852.734628 2545.770815 3506.281002 4962.198015
2026-01-11 689.709982 954.479089 1318.606201 1863.714825 2672.477103 3849.526474 5732.004557
2026-01-18 628.257767 896.284263 1277.859897 1870.860068 2787.684118 4182.322804 6524.960105
2026-01-25 588.278830 863.223203 1267.435249 1918.018403 2963.773759 4622.947712 7544.642975
2026-02-01 550.988189 829.433174 1250.953306 1951.555282 3118.927883 5045.129024 8590.991836
2026-02-08 515.443294 794.250449 1227.795788 1970.069973 3248.862519 5437.762657 9639.673872
2026-02-15 485.036965 763.897668 1208.582691 1991.544690 3383.906358 5852.358369 10786.514734
2026-02-22 461.612189 742.386278 1201.095040 2030.917422 3552.873070 6345.498213 12155.257225
2026-03-01 424.804426 695.363677 1146.530466 1981.721858 3554.496789 6527.062029 12929.271696
2026-03-08 389.926469 649.398310 1090.857396 1926.840070 3542.818517 6688.459453 13703.282462
2026-03-15 356.695167 603.719836 1031.981910 1860.474502 3502.056613 6788.388233 14365.139609
2026-03-22 346.510827 597.647958 1042.739882 1925.705353 3727.153388 7455.911238 16403.089608
2026-03-29 331.829095 582.178688 1034.836717 1953.634614 3879.157557 7989.387638 18225.335431
2026-04-05 316.237197 563.730076 1019.671087 1965.284312 3997.854019 8465.393221 19994.047752
2026-04-12 301.441341 545.574405 1003.435233 1972.865483 4108.167675 8936.568994 21836.998708
2026-04-19 292.760431 538.325715 1007.564370 2022.905893 4317.787655 9665.766979 24495.624855
2026-04-26 283.011034 528.219456 1005.116214 2058.497549 4498.589853 10351.476575 27174.394272
2026-05-03 272.241827 515.274572 995.840031 2078.148435 4644.330047 10971.315315 29794.281494
2026-05-10 262.516252 503.689161 988.365799 2100.942596 4800.156857 11639.021603 32696.443814
2026-05-17 255.189932 496.430831 989.269088 2142.738869 5007.603934 12472.324519 36289.277777